BOOK
Wars Without End: Competitive Intervention, Escalation Control, and Protracted Conflict (New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2025).
PEER REVIEWED ARTICLES
“Navigating Uncertainty: Rebel Risk Management Strategies During War-to-Peace Transitions.” Perspectives on Politics, forthcoming (with Jacques Bertrand and Alex Pelletier).
“Pressed to Prolong: Conscription, the Costs of Military Labor, and Civil War Duration.” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 67, No. 2 (2023): sqad016 (with Benjamin E. Bagozzi and Ore Koren).
“The Limits of Regional Power: South Africa’s Security Strategy, 1975-1989.” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 42, No. 2 (2023): 404-426 (with Mark Bell).
“Addressing Monotone Likelihood in Duration Modeling of Political Events.” British Journal of Political Science. Vol. 51, No. 4 (2021): 1654-1671 (with Benjamin E. Bagozzi and Ore Koren).
“Competitive Intervention, Protracted Conflict, and the Global Prevalence of Civil War.” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 63, No. 3 (2019): 692-706.
“Fatality Thresholds, Causal Heterogeneity, and Civil War Research: Reconsidering the Link Between Narcotics and Conflict.” Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 7, No. 1 (2019): 85-105 (with Alec Worsnop).
“Peacekeepers Fighting a Counterinsurgency Campaign: A Net Assessment of the African Union Mission in Somalia.” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, Vol. 37, No. 11 (2014): 936-958.
OTHER PUBLICATIONS
“Proxy Wars: How they End, and How Relationships Break Down.” Proxy Wars Initiative (2020).
“The Al-Shayrat Strikes and Escalation Control in Syria.” War on the Rocks (10 April 2017).
“Why Victories in Battle Have Not Yet Finished the War Against al-Shabaab.” Survival, Vol. 58, No. 4 (2016): 51-62.
“The Agreement That Will Save Ukraine.” The National Interest (22 June 2015).
“The ‘Art of the Fudge’: Merits of Constructive Ambiguity in the Good Friday Agreement.” Attaché Journal of International Affairs (2009): 57-72.